Rising price of crude adds to value of Marcellus plans
Rapid changes are looming in the realm of global energy markets, if we’re reading the tea leaves right. Here’s why:
In January, the petroleum marketing analyst ICIS predicted that prices for oil and other fuels would rise steadily this spring. The increase, when it hit a certain level, would accelerate the profitability of new polyethylene (PE) plants being built in the United States, including the $6 billion Shell Chemical ethane cracker plant under construction in Beaver County, according to ICIS. The target increase level will cause companies to spend less time in arriving at a decision to expand capacity. The trend will attract more foreign investment as well.
The target price at which all this would happen: around $70 a barrel — the price where crude prices arrived this week for the first time since 2014, Reuters reported Monday.
Reuters cited two circumstances behind the sudden rise in crude prices:
- A collapse of Venezuelan national oil production, brought about when Conoco Philips threatened to take possession of Caribbean assets of state-run PDVSA to enforce a $2 billion arbitration award, Reuters reported, citing sources.
- President Trump’s impending threat of sanctions against Iranian oil if a nuclear arms deal is canceled.
There’s an additional reason why the increase of oil prices is a big deal for the region’s manufacturers. They’ll get a competitive bargain. The ethane-based plastic feedstock that will be made by the cracker plant is cheaper to produce than the oil-based naphtha, the feedstock that most manufacturers in other parts of the world rely on.
As the ICIS report explains, “when oil prices rise, U.S. producers achieve a feedstock advantage.”
As if the plentiful resource of Marcellus Shale gas were not enough of a gift to Pennsylvanians, it seems as if the rising price of oil only increases its luster.
In coming weeks and months — particularly as we consider candidates for governor and other state level political posts — let’s not lose sight of the value of this resource to all Pennsylvanians.
