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Air fares soar in some cities

Others see rates drop or stay even

MINNEAPOLIS — Air fares are up, right? The short answer is yes — 22 fare increases this year. But fares in some cities are flat or even down, as fierce competition keeps airlines from charging as much as they would like.

Business fares in early September were down 5 percent in Phoenix and 4 percent in New York compared to the same week last year, according to research by Bob Harrell of Harrell Associates, who tracks airfares. In many other cities ticket prices were up only marginally — 1 percent in Orlando, 3 percent in Atlanta, 4 percent in Denver and Las Vegas.

The good news in those cities doesn't change the bad news for everyone else: Overall, fares are up — 11 percent for leisure travel, 6 percent for business fares, according to Harrell. He found increases of 26 percent in Philadelphia, 17 percent in Minneapolis, 15 percent in Newark, N.J., 12 percent in Dallas.

Yet fares in Denver are up only 4 percent over the past year. The reason? Southwest Airlines has been adding flights as United Airlines and Frontier Airlines pull back. By Nov. 2 Southwest plans to have 115 daily flights out of Denver, a nine-fold increase from mid-2007.

Expedia's Travel Trendwatch newsletter says low-fare competition has caused fall fares to decline 32 percent between Denver and San Francisco, and 30 percent from Denver to San Diego. It also noted declines from Indianapolis to Las Vegas.

"In the markets where there's less supply, the airlines will definitely try to raise prices, and the customers in those markets will face higher prices," said Greg Schulze, Expedia's vice president of air accounts.

Overseas routes are another area where pricing pressure is working against higher fares. Schulze said that with fewer airline seats flying in the U.S., the number to Europe has actually increased.

Fares are staying lowest in cities with the most discount competition, said Mike Fridgen, Director of Product Management for Farecast. He says that if you don't live in a market with competition from a discount carrier, you're probably seeing fares rise.

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